İktisat Bölümü

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    Determination of Women Voting Behavior: a Machine Learning Approach in the Turkish Political Arena
    (Hipatia Press, 2020) Caha, Havva; Bayyurt, Nizamettin
    Justice and Development Party (AKP) has been the ruling and biggest party in Turkey (AKP) since it has been established in 2002 and Republican People's Party (CHP) has been the main opposition party (CHP) since then. These two parties receive about 75% of all the votes. In Turkey half of the voters are females. In this study, the important attributes of women in party selection decisions are analyzed. To our knowledge, there is no such a study focusing on women's party preferences in Turkey. Additionally, this is one of the very few studies in Turkey concerning voters' party preferences. Therefore, this study aims to fill this gap in the literature. Center-periphery and social mobility theories are the two main theories explaining Turkish political life. The analyzed ideological, cultural, religious, social, economic and demographic characteristics of women supporters are selected according to these theories. Machine-learning techniques are employed as predictive tools. Results show that ideological attitudes like being leftist-rightist and religious values like headscarf, fasting in Ramadan, and praying are the most important effective attributes on party selection of women. However, socio-economic, cultural, educational and demographic atributes are not effective on party selection of women in Turkey.
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    Evaluation Of The Relationship Between Foreign Trade Liberalization And Unemployment Within The Framework Of The Heterogeneous Firm Model;
    (Sosyoekonomi Soc, 2022) Cirkin, Zeynep; Goksel, Turkmen
    This study investigates how foreign trade liberalization affects unemployment by using the Melitz model (2003), which is one of the intra-industry trade models expressing trade between countries with similar technologies, preferences, and cost structures that make up a large part of international trade. The Melitz model (2003) is remodelled by efficiency wage theory to endogenize unemployment. The model is solved by numerical method. It is assumed that market expansion and competition in the market occur simultaneously. The effect of liberalization on unemployment varies depending on which of two factors, market expansion or competition, dominates the other. According to the results, unemployment decreases when market expansion dominates the competition, while unemployment increases if competition dominates market expansion. In addition, it has been observed that there is an increase in the total amount of production, productivity, and unemployment insurance when market expansion is dominant. Also, it has been observed that there is a decrease in the total amount of production, productivity level, and unemployment insurance when competition in the market is dominant.