Browsing by Author "Güzel, Tuncay"

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Aging and cardiac implantable electronic device complications: is the procedure safe in older patients?
(ELSEVIER, 2023) Güzel, Tuncay; Aktan, Adem; Kılıç, Raif; Günlü, Serhat; Arslan, Bayram; Arpa, Abdulkadir; Güzel, Hamdullah; Tatlı, İsmail; Aydın, Saadet; Suzan, Veysel; Demir, Muhammed
Background In this study, we investigated whether there is a higher incidence of cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIED) procedures related complications in older (≥75 years) than in younger (<75 years) patients. Methods This retrospective cohort study enrolled patients who had undergone CIED procedures (de novo implantation, system upgrade, generator substitution, pocket revision or lead replacement) at two heart centers in Turkey between January 2011 and May 2023. The primary composite endpoint included clinically signifcant hematoma (CSH), pericardial efusion or tamponade, pneumothorax, and infection related to the device system. Secondary outcomes included each component of the composite end point. Results The overall sample included 1923 patients (1419<75 years and 504 aged≥75 years). There was no diference between the groups in terms of cumulative events defned as primary outcome (3.5% vs. 4.4%, p=0.393). Infection related to device system was signifcantly higher in the≥75 age group (1.8% vs. 3.4%, p=0.034). There was no signifcant diference between the groups in terms of clinically signifcant hematoma and pneumothorax (0.7% vs. 0.4%, p=0.451, 1.4% vs. 1.0%, p=0.477, respectively). In multivariate model analysis, no association was found between age≥75 years and infection related to the device system. Conclusion Infection rates were relatively higher in the patient group aged≥75 years. This patient group should be evaluated more carefully in terms of infection development before and after the procedure.
Aging and cardiac implantable electronic device complications: is the procedure safe in older patients?
(Springer, 2023) Güzel, Tuncay; Aktan, Adem; Kılıç, Raif; Günlü, Serhat; Arslan, Bayram; Arpa, Abdulkadir; Güzel, Hamdullah; Tatlı, İsmail; Aydın, Saadet; Suzan, Veysel; Demir, Muhammed
Background: In this study, we investigated whether there is a higher incidence of cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIED) procedures related complications in older (≥ 75 years) than in younger (< 75 years) patients. Methods: This retrospective cohort study enrolled patients who had undergone CIED procedures (de novo implantation, system upgrade, generator substitution, pocket revision or lead replacement) at two heart centers in Turkey between January 2011 and May 2023. The primary composite endpoint included clinically significant hematoma (CSH), pericardial effusion or tamponade, pneumothorax, and infection related to the device system. Secondary outcomes included each component of the composite end point. Results: The overall sample included 1923 patients (1419 < 75 years and 504 aged ≥ 75 years). There was no difference between the groups in terms of cumulative events defined as primary outcome (3.5% vs. 4.4%, p = 0.393). Infection related to device system was significantly higher in the ≥ 75 age group (1.8% vs. 3.4%, p = 0.034). There was no significant difference between the groups in terms of clinically significant hematoma and pneumothorax (0.7% vs. 0.4%, p = 0.451, 1.4% vs. 1.0%, p = 0.477, respectively). In multivariate model analysis, no association was found between age ≥ 75 years and infection related to the device system. Conclusion: Infection rates were relatively higher in the patient group aged ≥ 75 years. This patient group should be evaluated more carefully in terms of infection development before and after the procedure.
Comparison of Evolut-R 34 mm Valve and Smaller Evolut-R Valves in Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation and Determination of Mild Paravalvular Leak Predictors
(Turkish Society of Cardiology, 2024) Kılıç, Raif; Güzel, Tuncay; Aktan, Adem; Demir, Muhammed; Günlü, Serhat; Arslan, Bayram; Ertaş, Faruk
Objective: The main purpose of this study was to evaluate and compare the in-hospital, 1-month and 1-year post-procedure outcomes of patients treated with Evolut-R 34 mm and Evolut-R 23/26/29 mm devices. Additionally, the study aimed to identify factors that could predict the occurrence of ≥ mild paravalvular leaks (PVL). Methods: Between April 2015 and May 2022, 269 consecutive patients who underwent transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI) with Evolut-R 34 mm (n = 66, 24.5%) and Evolut-R 23/26/29 mm (n = 203, 75.5%) devices in a single center were retrospectively analyzed. Results: Patients in the Evolut-R 34 mm group had a lower female sex ratio (16.7% vs. 66.5%, P < .001, respectively), ejection fraction (50.7 ± 10.1% vs. 54.5 ± 9.3%, P= .016, respectively), and mean aortic gradient (7.4 ± 3.3 vs. 9.2 ± 5.0, P= .026, respectively) compared to the Evolut-R 23/26/29 mm group. The groups did not exhibit any statistically significant distinctions with regard to technical success, the need for a permanent pacemaker, occurrences of stroke, major vascular complications, PVL, major adverse cardiovascular and cerebrovascular events, or mortality. Peak velocity was confirmed as a significant predictor of ≥mild PVL in both patient groups in the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. In logistic regression analysis; In patients with Evolut-R 34 mm valve, pre-TAVI aortic valve peak velocity (odds ratio (OR) = 23.202; P= .019) and calcium volume 800 Hounsfield Units (mm3) (OR = 1.017; P < .001) were independent predictors of ≥mild PVL. Conclusion: The Evolut-R 34 mm valve has shown comparable in-hospital results with smaller valve sizes. Pre-TAVI aortic valve peak velocity and calcium volume predicted ≥ mild PVL in Evolut-R 34 mm patients.
Comparison of pain levels of traditional radial, distal radial, and transfemoral coronary catheterization
(ScieLO, 2023) Kılıç, Raif; Güzel, Tuncay; Aktan, Adem; Arslan, Bayram; Aslan, Muzaffer; Günlü, Serhat; Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif
OBJECTIVE: The aim of our study was to compare the traditional radial artery, distal radial artery, and transfemoral artery, which are vascular access sites for coronary angiography, in terms of pain level using the visual analog scale. METHODS: Between April 2021 and May 2022, consecutive patients from three centers were included in our study. A total of 540 patients, 180 from each of the traditional radial artery, distal radial artery , and transfemoral artery groups, were included. The visual analog scale was applied to the patients as soon as they were taken to bed. RESULTS: When the visual analog scale was compared between the groups, it was found to be significantly different (transfemoral artery: 2.7±1.6, traditional radial artery: 3.9±1.9, and distal radial artery: 4.9±2.1, respectively, p<0.001). When the patients were classified as mild, moderate, and severe based on the visual analog scale score, a significant difference was found between the groups in terms of body mass index, process time, access time, and number of punctures (p<0.001). Based on the receiver operating characteristic analysis, body mass index>29.8 kg/m2 predicted severe pain with 72.5% sensitivity and 73.2% specificity [(area under the curve: 0.770, 95%CI: 0.724–0.815, p<0.0001)]. CONCLUSION: In our study, we found that the femoral approach caused less access site pain and a high body mass index predicts severe pain.
The effect of body mass index on complications in cardiac implantable electronic device surgery
(WILEY, 2023) Güzel, Tuncay; Demir, Muhammed; Aktan, Adem; Kılıç, Raif; Arslan, Bayram; Günlü, Serhat; Altıntaş, Bernas; Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif; Özbek, Mehmet; Aslan, Burhan; Arpa, Abdulkadir; Coşkun, Mehmet Sait; Altunbaş, Mahsum; Tüzün, Rohat; Akgümüş, Alkame; Karadeniz, Muhammed; Aydın, Saadet; Güzel, Hamdullah; Aslan, Selen Filiz; Söner, Serdar; Taş, Ahmet; Ertaş, Faruk
Background: Cardiac implantable electronic device (CIED) procedures are prone to complications. In our study, we investigated the effect of body mass index (BMI) on CIED-related complications. Methods: 1676 patients who had undergone CIED surgery (de novo implantation, system upgrade, generator change, pocket revision or lead replacement) at two heart centers in Turkey and met the study criteria were included in our study. For analysis of primary and secondary endpoints, patients were classified as non-obese (BMI < 25 kg/m2), overweight (25 ≤ BMI < 30 kg/m2), and obese (BMI ≥ 30 kg/m2). The primary endpoint was accepted as cumulative events, including the composite ofclinically significant hematoma (CSH), pericardial effusion or tamponade, pneumoth- orax, and infection related to the device system. Secondary outcomes included each component of cumulative events. Results: The rate of cumulative events, defined as primary outcome, was higher in the obese patient group, and we found a significant difference between the groups (3.0%, 4.3%, 8.9%, p = .001). CSH and pneumothorax rates were significantly higher in the obese patient group (0.3%, 0.9%, 1.9%, p = .04; 1.0%, 1.4%, 3.3%, p = .04, respectively). According to our multivariate model analysis; gender (OR:1.882, 95%CI:1.156–3.064, p = .01), hypertension (OR:4.768, 95%CI:2.470–9.204, p < .001), BMI (OR:1.069, 95%CI:1.012–1.129, p = .01) were independent predictors of cumulative events rates. Conclusions: Periprocedural complications associated with CIED (especially hematoma and pneumothorax) are more common in the group with high BMI.
The effect of coronary slow flow on ventricular repolarization parameters
(ScienceDirect, 2023) Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif; Aktan, Adem; Güzel, Tuncay; Günlü, Serhat; Kılıç, Raif
Introduction: Ischemia due to microvascular dysfunction may be responsible for the heterogeneity of ventricular repolarization in coronary slow flow. To our knowledge, there is no study in which QT interval, Tp-Te interval, index of cardiac-electrophysiological balance (iCEB), and frontal QRS-T angle were evaluated together in patients with CSF. In this study, we examined for the first time the relationship between all these myocardial repolarization parameters and CSF. Materials and methods: The study group included 178 patients (99 female, mean age: 50.6 ± 8.6 years) with isolated CSF without stenotic lesions and with angiographically proven normal coronary arteries. The control group included 120 patients (71 female, mean age: 49.3 ± 9.4 years) with normal coronary angiography. QRS duration, QT interval, QTc interval, Tp-Te interval, Tp-Te/QT, Tp- Te/QTc, iCEB score, and frontal QRS-T angle were calculated from 12‑lead ECGs. Results: There was no significant difference in demographic parameters between the two groups. Compared with the control group, patients with CSF had significantly longer QTmax duration, QT dispersion, Tp-Te interval, and higher iCEB score, wider frontal QRS-T angle. Conclusion: In our study, we found that many of the ventricular repolarization parameters were adversely affected in patients with CSF. Impaired parameters may be associated with the risk of malignant ventricular arrhythmias.
The effect of coronary slow flow on ventricular repolarization parameters
(ELSEVIER, 2023) Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif; Aktan, Adem; Güzel, Tuncay; Günlü, Serhat; Kılıç, Raif
Introduction: Ischemia due to microvascular dysfunction may be responsible for the heterogeneity of ventricular repolarization in coronary slow flow. To our knowledge, there is no study in which QT interval, Tp-Te interval, index of cardiac-electrophysiological balance (iCEB), and frontal QRS-T angle were evaluated together in patients with CSF. In this study, we examined for the first time the relationship between all these myocardial repolarization parameters and CSF. Materials and methods: The study group included 178 patients (99 female, mean age: 50.6 ± 8.6 years) with isolated CSF without stenotic lesions and with angiographically proven normal coronary arteries. The control group included 120 patients (71 female, mean age: 49.3 ± 9.4 years) with normal coronary angiography. QRS duration, QT interval, QTc interval, Tp-Te interval, Tp-Te/QT, Tp- Te/QTc, iCEB score, and frontal QRS-T angle were calculated from 12‑lead ECGs. Results: There was no significant difference in demographic parameters between the two groups. Compared with the control group, patients with CSF had significantly longer QTmax duration, QT dispersion, Tp-Te interval, and higher iCEB score, wider frontal QRS-T angle. Conclusion: In our study, we found that many of the ventricular repolarization parameters were adversely affected in patients with CSF. Impaired parameters may be associated with the risk of malignant ventricular arrhythmias.
Evaluation of Frontal QRS-T Angle in Patients with Coronary Artery Ectasia
(Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia – SBC, 2023) Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif; Aktan, Adem; Güzel, Tuncay; Kayan, Fethullah; Günlü, Serhat
Background: Coronary artery ectasia (CAE) is defined by focal enlargement of the coronary artery exceeding 1.5 times the adjacent normal segment. CAE can often cause arrhythmias, heart failure, sudden death, and myocardial ischemia. Ischemia due to microvascular dysfunction may be responsible for the ventricular heterogeneity in CAE. Objectives: The aim of our study was to evaluate the frontal QRS-T angle in patients with CAE. Methods: Our study included 55 patients with CAE and 50 individuals in the control group. Demographic characteristics and electrocardiographic parameters were compared between the two groups. Categorical variables were compared using the chi-square test. Continuous variables were compared using unpaired Student’s t-test. P values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. The frontal QRS-T angle was calculated from 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) using the automatic report from the electrocardiography machine. Results: The average age of patients with CAE was 63.2 ± 3.4 years, with 18 women among them. The control group had an average age of 61.1 ± 3.2 years, with 28 women included. There was no significant difference in demographic parameters between the two groups. Compared to the control group, patients with CAE had significantly wider frontal QRS-T angle (p < 0.001), as well as longer QTmax duration, p = 0.002; Tp-Te interval, p = 0.02; and QT dispersion (QTd), p = 0.04. Conclusion: The frontal QRS-T angle can be calculated easily and time-efficiently using surface electrocardiography. In this study, we showed for the first time that the frontal QRS-T angle was significantly increased in patients with CAE.
Evaluation of Frontal QRS-T Angle in Patients with Coronary Artery Ectasia
(Sociedade Brasileira de Cardiologia, 2023) Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif; Aktan, Adem; Güzel, Tuncay; Kayan, Fethullah; Günlü, Serhat
Background: Coronary artery ectasia (CAE) is defined by focal enlargement of the coronary artery exceeding 1.5 times the adjacent normal segment. CAE can often cause arrhythmias, heart failure, sudden death, and myocardial ischemia. Ischemia due to microvascular dysfunction may be responsible for the ventricular heterogeneity in CAE. Objectives: The aim of our study was to evaluate the frontal QRS-T angle in patients with CAE. Methods: Our study included 55 patients with CAE and 50 individuals in the control group. Demographic characteristics and electrocardiographic parameters were compared between the two groups. Categorical variables were compared using the chi-square test. Continuous variables were compared using unpaired Student’s t-test. P values < 0.05 were considered statistically significant. The frontal QRS-T angle was calculated from 12-lead electrocardiograms (ECGs) using the automatic report from the electrocardiography machine. Results: The average age of patients with CAE was 63.2 ± 3.4 years, with 18 women among them. The control group had an average age of 61.1 ± 3.2 years, with 28 women included. There was no significant difference in demographic parameters between the two groups. Compared to the control group, patients with CAE had significantly wider frontal QRS-T angle (p < 0.001), as well as longer QTmax duration, p = 0.002; Tp-Te interval, p = 0.02; and QT dispersion (QTd), p = 0.04. Conclusion: The frontal QRS-T angle can be calculated easily and time-efficiently using surface electrocardiography. In this study, we showed for the first time that the frontal QRS-T angle was significantly increased in patients with CAE
Evaluation of Hematological Parameters After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
(SAGE, 2023) Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif; Aktan, Adem; Güzel, Tuncay; Kılıç, Raif; Günlü, Serhat; Demir, Muhammed; Ertaş, Faruk
Although transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is safe and effective, mortality and bleeding events post procedure are important. The present study investigated the changes in hematologic parameters to evaluate whether they predict mortality or major bleeding. We enrolled 248 consecutive patients (44.8% male; mean age 79.0 ± 6.4 years) undergoing TAVR. In addition to demographic and clinical examination, blood parameters were recorded before TAVR, at discharge, 1 month and 1 year. Hemoglobin levels before TAVR 12.1 ± 1.8 g/dL, 10.8 ± 1.7 g/dL at discharge, 11.7 ± 1.7 g/dL at first month, 11.8 ± 1.4 g/dL at first year (Hemoglobin values compared with pre-TAVR, P < .001, P = .019, P = .047, respectively). Mean platelet volume (MPV) before TAVR 8.72 ± 1.71 fL, 8.16 ± 1.46 fL at discharge, 8.09 ± 1.44 fL at first month, 7.94 ± 1.18 fL at first year (MPV values compared with pre-TAVR, P < .001, P < .001, P < .001, respectively). Other hematologic parameters were also evaluated. Hemoglobin, platelet count, MPV, and red cell distribution width before the procedure, at discharge, and at the first year did not predict mortality and major bleeding in receiver operating characteristic analysis. After multivariate Cox regression analysis, hematologic parameters were not independent predictors of in-hospital mortality, major bleeding, and death at 1 year after TAVR.
Evaluation of Hematological Parameters After Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
(Sage Journals, 2023) Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif; Aktan, Adem; Güzel, Tuncay; Kılıç, Raif; Günlü, Serhat; Demir, Muhammed; Ertaş, Faruk
Although transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) is safe and effective, mortality and bleeding events post procedure are important. The present study investigated the changes in hematologic parameters to evaluate whether they predict mortality or major bleeding. We enrolled 248 consecutive patients (44.8% male; mean age 79.0 ± 6.4 years) undergoing TAVR. In addition to demographic and clinical examination, blood parameters were recorded before TAVR, at discharge, 1 month and 1 year. Hemoglobin levels before TAVR 12.1 ± 1.8 g/dL, 10.8 ± 1.7 g/dL at discharge, 11.7 ± 1.7 g/dL at first month, 11.8 ± 1.4 g/dL at first year (Hemoglobin values compared with pre-TAVR, P < .001, P = .019, P = .047, respectively). Mean platelet volume (MPV) before TAVR 8.72 ± 1.71 fL, 8.16 ± 1.46 fL at discharge, 8.09 ± 1.44 fL at first month, 7.94 ± 1.18 fL at first year (MPV values compared with pre-TAVR, P < .001, P < .001, P < .001, respectively). Other hematologic parameters were also evaluated. Hemoglobin, platelet count, MPV, and red cell distribution width before the procedure, at discharge, and at the first year did not predict mortality and major bleeding in receiver operating characteristic analysis. After multivariate Cox regression analysis, hematologic parameters were not independent predictors of in-hospital mortality, major bleeding, and death at 1 year after TAVR.
Evaluation of Right Ventricular Global Longitudinal Strain in COVID-19 Patients After Intensive Care Unit Discharge
(2023) Günlü, Serhat; Arpa, Abdulkadir; Aktan, Adem; Güzel, Tuncay; Kılıç, Raif; Kayan, Fethullah; Işık, Mehmet Ali; Çelikten, Murat; Arslan, Bayram; Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif
Background and Aim: Using two-dimensional speckle tracking echocardiography (2D-STE), the ventricular functions of hospitalized coronavirus disease-2019 (COVID-19) patients were assessed. However, there is limited information about cardiac functions in the first year after recovery from the intensive care unit (ICU). This research aims to assess the right ventricular functions of COVID-19 patients and their changes within the first year after ICU discharge using 2D-STE. Materials and Methods: The study was conducted prospectively. The study included 68 consecutive patients and 70 control patients. Echocardiography was performed in the ICU and the first year after discharge from the hospital. Right ventricular global longitudinal strain (RVGLS) was measured using the 2D-STE method. Results: The mean age of the study group was 48.67±8.10 and 37 (54.4%) patients were males. There were no substantial differences across the groups, including age, gender, body mass index, heart rate, diabetes, dyslipidemia, and smoking (P > 0.05). A substantially significant positive correlation was detected between right ventricular dimension (RAD) (r = 0.644, P < 0.001), right ventricular diastolic dimension (RVDD) (r = 0.573, P < 0.001), ferritin (r = 0.454, P < 0.001), D-dimer (r = 0.305, P = 0.011) values and RVGLS in the in-hospital and after-discharge first-year groups. The RVGLS values of the control, in-hospital, and after-discharge first-year groups were -20.36±3.06, -16.98±3.78, and -17.58±6.45, indicating a statistically significant difference across the groups (P < 0.001). Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion was higher in the control group (P < 0.05). Conclusion: RVGLS was found to be depressed during the in-hospital period and showed no improvement in the 1 year post discharge.
Local Against General Anesthesia For Transcatheter Aortic Valve Replacement
(Bandırma Onyedi Eylül Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi, 2023) Günlü, Serhat; Kayan, Fethullah; Güzel, Tuncay; Aktan, Adem; Tanırcan, Muhammed Raşid; Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif
Background/Aims: Transcatheter aortic valve replacement (TAVR) poses significant challenges concerning anesthesia management. There is no consensus on the type of safer anesthesia for TAVR procedures. We aimed to evaluate the effectiveness and safety of TAVR performed with trans-femoral approach under local anesthesia with sedation (LAS) against general anesthesia (GA). Methods: This observational and retrospective analysis included individuals who were admitted on a planned basis from 2016 to 2022 and underwent Transfemoral TAVR. Effectiveness and safety outcomes were evaluated at 30 days. İndividuals were separated into two groups: GA and LAS. Demographic characteristics and procedural data were recorded during hospitalization. Results: 115 patients were included, of whom 62 (53.9%) received LAS and 53 received GA (46.1%). 59 female (48.8%) patients with a mean age of 83.2±5.7 participated in the study. Successful TAVR procedure was performed in 100 (86.9%) of 115 patients with the transfemoral approach. The mean procedure time was 136.7±46.7 minutes, and the procedure time was shorter in patients who underwent LAS against GA (p=0.001). There were no differences among the groups including fluoroscopy time, contrast, and radiation dose (p>0.05). In 2 patients (3.2%), significant vascular complications necessitated immediate surgical intervention, necessitating a change in the anesthesia technique. Overall 30-day mortality was 5.2%, with no significant differences among the groups (GA 7.5% vs. LAS 3.2%, p =0.28). GA had substantially longer ICU and total hospitalization stays than LAS (p=0.009 and p =0.004, respectively). Conclusions: In our study, TAVR via the transfemoral route using LAS was an alternative for GA.
The prognostic value of ORBIT risk score in predicting major bleeding in patients with acute coronary syndrome
(ELSEVIER, 2023) Günlü, Serhat; Arpa, Abdulkadir; Kayan, Fethullah; Güzel, Tuncay; Kılıç, Raif; Aktan, Adem; Bernas, Altıntaş; Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif
Background: The most significant adverse effect of antithrombotic medication in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is major bleeding, which is related to increased mortality. Studies on ORBIT risk score in predicting major bleeding in ACS patients are limited. Objective: This research aimed to examine whether the ORBIT score calculated at the bedside can identify major bleeding risk in patients with ACS. Methods: This research was retrospective, observational, and conducted at a single center. Analyses of receiver operating characteristics (ROC) were utilized to define the diagnostic value of CRUSADE and ORBIT scores. The predictive performances of the two scores were compared using DeLong's method. Discrimination and reclassification performances were evaluated by the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Results: The study included 771 patients with ACS. The mean age was 68.7 ± 8.6 years, with 35.3 % females. 31 patients had major bleeding. Twenty-three of these patients were BARC 3 A, five were BARC 3 B, and three were BARC 3 C. Bleeding history [OR (95 % CI), 2.46 (1.02–5.94), p = 0.021], hemoglobin levels [OR (95 % CI), 0.54 (0.45–0.63), p < 0.001], and age > 74 years [OR (95 % CI), 1.03 (1.01–1.06), p = 0.039] were independent predictors of major bleeding. The ORBIT score was an independent predictor of major bleeding in the multivariate analysis: continuous variables [OR (95 % CI), 2.53 (2.61–3.95), p < 0.001] and risk categories [OR (95 % CI), 3.06 (1.69–5.52), p < 0.001]. Comparison of c-indexes for major bleeding events revealed a non-significant difference for the discriminative ability of the two tested scores (p = 0.07) with a continuous NRI of 6.6 % (p = 0.026) and an IDI of 4.2 % (p < 0.001). Conclusion: In ACS patients, the ORBIT score independently predicted major bleeding.
The prognostic value of ORBIT risk score in predicting major bleeding in patients with acute coronary syndrome
(ScienceDirect, 2023) Günlü, Serhat; Arpa, Abdulkadir; Kayan, Fethullah; Güzel, Tuncay; Kılıç, Raif; Aktan, Adem; Altintaş, Bernas; Karahan, Mehmet Zülkif
Background: The most significant adverse effect of antithrombotic medication in acute coronary syndrome (ACS) is major bleeding, which is related to increased mortality. Studies on ORBIT risk score in predicting major bleeding in ACS patients are limited. Objective: This research aimed to examine whether the ORBIT score calculated at the bedside can identify major bleeding risk in patients with ACS. Methods: This research was retrospective, observational, and conducted at a single center. Analyses of receiver operating characteristics (ROC) were utilized to define the diagnostic value of CRUSADE and ORBIT scores. The predictive performances of the two scores were compared using DeLong's method. Discrimination and reclassification performances were evaluated by the integrated discrimination improvement (IDI), and net reclassification improvement (NRI). Results: The study included 771 patients with ACS. The mean age was 68.7 ± 8.6 years, with 35.3 % females. 31 patients had major bleeding. Twenty-three of these patients were BARC 3 A, five were BARC 3 B, and three were BARC 3 C. Bleeding history [OR (95 % CI), 2.46 (1.02-5.94), p = 0.021], hemoglobin levels [OR (95 % CI), 0.54 (0.45-0.63), p < 0.001], and age > 74 years [OR (95 % CI), 1.03 (1.01-1.06), p = 0.039] were independent predictors of major bleeding. The ORBIT score was an independent predictor of major bleeding in the multivariate analysis: continuous variables [OR (95 % CI), 2.53 (2.61-3.95), p < 0.001] and risk categories [OR (95 % CI), 3.06 (1.69-5.52), p < 0.001]. Comparison of c-indexes for major bleeding events revealed a non-significant difference for the discriminative ability of the two tested scores (p = 0.07) with a continuous NRI of 6.6 % (p = 0.026) and an IDI of 4.2 % (p < 0.001). Conclusion: In ACS patients, the ORBIT score independently predicted major bleeding.